Kickflipping the new Tesla Roadster (one attempt, belted in): 1 in 125 chance it kills you
~8,000 micromorts. Like 9 years as a commercial fisherman, or 19 BASE jumps. Best guess.
Mortmeter: Not worth it. Here lies a legend. Landed it once. A stunt rig gives you the same video for 1% of the risk.
Assuming: A deliberate airborne full roll off a ramp, stock car, glass targa roof, you belted in. No roll cage.
How we got this: Real rollovers are the closest data. In US crash data (NASS-CDS, 1998 to 2008), about 1 in 50 rollover cases involved a death, and roughly 1 in 125 for belted occupants who stayed inside. A kickflip is a deliberate, airborne, full rotation with a glass roof, so we start at the belted rate. A proper stunt rig would cut it sharply; unbelted would be far worse.
What gets you: Roof crush on landing, Head and neck impact, Fire after a hard landing.
Cheaper version: Hire a stunt driver with a roll cage and watch from the grandstand: over 99% cheaper. Or kickflip a skateboard.
Sources and method: how Mortmeter prices things, and the Atlas of measured risks.
More priced risks: Sharing a bottle of Flor de Pingus, Riding Polyppen at Bakken in Denmark, Eating 2 whole pizzas, Drinking a bottle of red wine, Winter bathing in the Øresund, A week of off-piste skiing, Getting LASIK eye surgery, Texting while driving on the motorway.